Summary
Captain America: Brave New Worldbox office predictions are in, and Marvel Studios may have reason to believe its winning streak isn’t over. However,Captain America 4may need to rely on one thing to become a box office success.
Captain America: Brave New Worldmarks Anthony Mackie’s first feature film in the titular role since Chris Evans' Steve Rogers passed the shield on to Sam Wilson/Falcon in 2019’sAvengers: Endgame. While theCaptain Americafilms have been successes for Marvel Studios, the MCU’s days of guaranteed box office hits are seemingly over.Deadpool and WolverineandGuardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3were box office wins. Still, Marvel Studios suffered a series of box office disappointments orbombs with films such asThe Marvels,Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania,Eternals, and more. However,Captain America: Brave New World box office projections have arrived, and Marvel Studios has reason to believe this won’t be another box office bomb.
Deadlinereports thatCaptain America: Brave New Worldbox office projections via the tracking service Quorum indicate the film is expected to open with $86 million to $95M over the 3-day of the 4-day Presidents Day weekend. That figure jumps to over $100 million when factoring in the Friday through Monday numbers. While this would be well behindCaptain America: Civil War’s $179.1 million 3-day opening weekend (which benefited from an Avengers-size cast that featured Robert Downey Jr.), it is on par withCaptain America: The Winter Soldier’s $95 million 3-day debut.Box Office Theorypredicts a domestic total of $195-280 million.
According to Quorum,Captain America: Brave New Worldhas the most awareness of movies opening in February 2025, includingPaddington in Peru, which releases in the U.S. on the same weekend. Regarding awareness numbers,Captain America: Brave New Worldis strongest with men, particularly those over 35, and women under 35 are close by. Box Office Theory posits that because audiences haven’t reliably returned to theaters for the last MCU movies,Captain America: Brave New Worldwill depend on strong late-stage marketing, positive reviews, and good word-of-mouth from early screening reactions to perform well at the box office when it debuts. This suggestion is likely on the money, as many fans already predictCaptain America: Brave New Worldwill be bad.
These low expectations largely stem from reports thatCaptain America: Brave New Worldhas undergone significant changes since production started. While it isn’t unusual for a Hollywood blockbuster to undergo additional photography, reports claim these reshoots were required afterCaptain America: Brave New World’s negative test screenings. This has caused fans to assume the film has insurmountable behind-the-scenes problems, with the most recent reshoots reportedly occurring as late as November 2024, roughly 3 months beforeCaptain America: Brave New World’s theatrical release.
Mackie tried todebunk claims thatCaptain America: Brave New Worldreshootssignificantly changed the film, but some fans are still skeptical. WWE Champion Seth Rollins even confirmed his role was cut after extensive rewrites and reshoots. So,Captain America: Brave New Worldmay have some work to do to gain fan confidence. However, if the early word-of-mouth is strong and these box office projections are correct, perhapsCaptain Americacan prove the doubters wrong.
Captain America: Brave New Worldwill be released in theaters on May 26, 2025.
Captain America: Brave New World
Captain America: Brave New World (formerly titledNew World Order)marks Sam Wilson’s first MCU big-screen appearance as Steve Rogers' successor after receiving the suit and shield in Phase 4’s The Falcon and the Winter Soldier. Anthony Mackie returns as the titular Avenger alongside Danny Ramirez as Joaquin Torres, Carl Lumby as Isaiah Bradley, and Tim Blake Nelson as The Incredible Hulk’s former ally Samuel Sterns. Harrison Ford makes his MCU debut replacing the late William Hurt as Thaddeus Ross.
